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Middle East unrest keeps oil and gas prices high

Unrest in Libya responisible for cut in production

2011 Oil & Gas Middle East Photography Competition
2011 Oil & Gas Middle East Photography Competition

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A report by Deloitte found that unrest in the region is what keeps oil and gas commodities’ prices high. 

According to the study 299 merger and acquisition transactions were completed in the first six months of 2014 in the oil and gas industry globally, one less than in the same period a year earlier.

The total value of deals in the first half of 2014 rose by nearly $40bn globally, to $141bn from $102bn in the first half of 2013 according to Deloitte’s latest report entitled “Mergers and Acquisitions Report – Midyear 2014: The deal market may be poised for a rebound”, which delivers the insights of Deloitte mergers and acquisitions specialists on what is driving activity in the oil and gas industry.

The first half of 2014 saw a continuation of many of the oil and gas industry trends present in 2013. Companies continue to be focused on cost containment and organic growth, particularly in the upstream sector, where producers are looking to ensure they have the right mix of properties in their portfolio.

“Largely because of geopolitical unrest that has curtailed production from Libya, Iraq, and Iran, commodity prices have remained relatively high for the first half of the year, and expectations for continued upward pressure on prices for the remainder of the year may make producers less likely to part with assets,” explains Kenneth McKellar, partner in charge of the energy and resources industry at Deloitte Middle East.

“Meanwhile, natural gas prices have remained stable, and the potential for increased demand from U.S. exports of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) may draw some new buyers to the market as they look to increase their exposure to gas”. The United States and Canada accounted for 61 percent of all deal activity, though this percentage slipped slightly from the first half of 2013. In the first half of the year, both Asia and South America saw increases in their share of the deal count rising nearly 20 percent and 50 percent, respectively.

“The uptick in deal activity in June of this year could signify a stronger deal market in the second half of the year. Upward pressure on commodity prices is likely to drive more transactions, and private equity investors, in particular, are likely to continue to show interest and be a source of capital,” said Humphry Hatton, CEO of Deloitte Corporate Finance Limited, regulated by the Dubai International Financial Center.

Deloitte’s new report covers deals from the past six months by industry sector. Highlights of the study also claimd that North American shale plays continue to dominate the deal market in the exploration and production sector.

The paper says the oilfield services sector saw an increase in deal value, thanks in part to three large deals, and margin pressure from the E&P sector, which may drive additional consolidation among middle market players.

According to the paper a dramatic slowdown in deal activity in the midstream sector has been present during 2014 after a flurry of transactions in 2012 and 2013.

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